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Holiday-Shortened Week with Non-Farm Payrolls the Main Catalyst

Stock futures are moving higher on news of US-Canada trade talks, though cryptos aren't moving...

Good morning contrarians! Welcome to the Daily Contrarian, our morning look at events likely to move markets. It is Monday, June 30. The last trading day of the second quarter.

State of Play

Last night brought news of progress on US-Canada trade talks. As we eye or board of indicators for signs of direction at 0800 ET, that is causing some cautious risk-on:

  • Stock index futures are pointing higher. The Nasdaq is leading things, up 0.6%. S&P 500 futures are 0.4% to the good;

  • Commodities are pretty quiet. WTI crude oil is down 0.4% with copper up 0.4%. Gold and silver are unchanged;

  • Cryptos aren’t doing anything either. Bitcoin is unchanged at $107,700;

  • Bonds also unchanged. The 10-year yields 4.25%.

Canada trade talks have progressed. Art by author via Grok AI

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