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More Trump, More Earnings
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More Trump, More Earnings

Trump’s Stargate deal boosts AI infrastructure. JNJ earnings beat estimates. A look at the sell-off in Wendy’s stock…

Good morning contrarians! Welcome to the Daily Contrarian, our morning look at events likely to move markets. It is Wednesday, Jan. 22. The Stocks On The Contrarian Radar©️ segment, feat WEN 0.00%↑, begins at (7:24) of today’s podcast and can be read at the bottom of this page.

State of Play

Stocks advanced yesterday, partly on news of President Trump’s Stargate venture to invest in AI infrastructure. After the close, earnings from Netflix (NFLX 0.00%↑) and United Airlines (UAL 0.00%↑) delivered more positive news.

Cartoon by author via OpenArt.ai

As we eye our board of indicators for signs of direction at 0645 ET, some risk-on is emerging as a result:

  • Stock index futures are advancing led by tech. The Nasdaq is up 0.8% with the S&P 500 pointing to gains of 0.5% at the open;

  • Cryptos are gaining ground as well. Bitcoin is up 1% to trade close to $105,000;

  • Commodities aren’t doing much. WTI crude oil is gaining a tiny bit, up 0.5% to trade north of $76/barrel again. Copper is down 0.3%;

  • Bonds are unchanged. The 10-year yield is 4.58%.

Today’s Known Events

Earnings are very much the focus again. One crucial report is in already:

The only economic data release worth mentioning is Japan’s balance of trade, due at 1850 ET tonight. A trade deficit of $55 billion yen, about half of last month’s, is expected by a survey of economists. Japan’s trade balance is a pretty good gauge of consumer health worldwide given the number of automobiles and electronics the country exports.

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The daily podcast discusses the major market activity and economic data release schedule for the day ahead, with a contrarian bent. Also includes regular podcast episodes a day (or more) early and without ads or announcements.