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Earnings Season Kick-Off, Producer Prices
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Earnings Season Kick-Off, Producer Prices

Stocks and bonds are pointing to continued gains after the CPI-driven rally…

Good morning contrarians! Welcome to the Daily Contrarian, our morning look at events likely to move markets in the day ahead. Today is Thursday, July 13: The start of earnings season.

State of Play

Stocks rallied yesterday after the softer-than-anticipated inflation report. Small caps once again led the way but this time tech came along for the ride. Both Nasdaq and Russell 2000 were up 1%+. As of 0625 it looks like the party is set to continue:

  • Stock index futures are pointing to gains, led by the Nasdaq this time (+0.7%);

  • Bond yields are dropping. Major rally in short-term bonds yesterday. The 2-year yield is down another 9 basis points to 4.65%. The 10-year is down 4bps to 3.83% (yields move inversely to prices);

  • Commodities are unchanged. WTI crude oil is trading around $76/barrel. Copper is up about 0.5%.

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The daily podcast discusses the major market activity and economic data release schedule for the day ahead, with a contrarian bent. Also includes regular podcast episodes a day (or more) early and without ads or announcements.