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Fed Day: Rate-Hike Pause and then What?
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Fed Day: Rate-Hike Pause and then What?

Stock index futures are flat ahead of what will in all likelihood be a pause of Fed rate hikes. What happens after that becomes the focal point of the day…
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Good morning contrarians! It is Wednesday, June 14. Happy Fed Day.

This is the Daily Contrarian, our morning look at the upcoming known events likely to move markets in the day ahead. To get caught up on what yesterday’s action you can view this quick (53 second) video hosted by our AI bot.

State of Play

As of 0615 all is pretty quiet ahead of the Fed:

  • Stock index futures are effectively unchanged, with no major US index moving more than 0.3% from the break-even point;

  • Commodities are continuing to recover ground, with WTI crude oil up 1% to trade north of $70/barrel again. Copper is flat;

  • Bonds are seeing a few bids, with the yield on the 2-year down 4 basis points to 4.66% and the 10-year down 3bps to 3.81% (yields move inversely to prices).

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The daily podcast discusses the major market activity and economic data release schedule for the day ahead, with a contrarian bent. Also includes regular podcast episodes a day (or more) early and without ads or announcements.