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Wholesale Inventories, a few Earnings, Fed Rate Pause Off?
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Wholesale Inventories, a few Earnings, Fed Rate Pause Off?

Stock futures are flat but bonds are continuing to sell off a bit over concerns the Fed rate hike pause may not happen…
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Good morning contrarians! It is Thursday, June 8.

State of Play

Yesterday was a pretty strange day on Wall Street. You had a big rally in small caps led by regional banks, with the Russell 200 gaining almost 2%. But then tech got sold, with the Nasdaq dropping 1.3%.

As of 0635 this morning, all is once again pretty quiet:

  • Stock index futures are flat as a board. No movement at all to report;

  • Commodities aren’t really doing anything. WTI crude oil is up <1% to trade around $73/barrel. Copper is unchanged;

  • Bonds are continuing to sell off a bit. The 2-year yield is up 2 basis points to 4.57% with the 10-year up 2bps to 3.81%. Apparently some concerns about the Fed pause being off the table are to blame for this.

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The daily podcast discusses the major market activity and economic data release schedule for the day ahead, with a contrarian bent. Also includes regular podcast episodes a day (or more) early and without ads or announcements.